Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000601 0.000692 0.000789 0.000899 0.001020 0.001150 0.001299
2025-05-11 0.000448 0.000570 0.000710 0.000880 0.001080 0.001306 0.001581
2025-05-18 0.000381 0.000518 0.000683 0.000892 0.001148 0.001448 0.001823
2025-05-25 0.000326 0.000471 0.000654 0.000895 0.001200 0.001568 0.002041
2025-06-01 0.000271 0.000416 0.000606 0.000866 0.001206 0.001627 0.002181
2025-06-08 0.000227 0.000370 0.000564 0.000839 0.001210 0.001680 0.002311
2025-06-15 0.000199 0.000341 0.000543 0.000837 0.001242 0.001767 0.002484
2025-06-22 0.000175 0.000317 0.000524 0.000835 0.001273 0.001852 0.002656
2025-06-29 0.000153 0.000291 0.000501 0.000824 0.001290 0.001918 0.002802
2025-07-06 0.000132 0.000266 0.000476 0.000808 0.001298 0.001968 0.002928
2025-07-13 0.000122 0.000257 0.000475 0.000827 0.001355 0.002088 0.003149
2025-07-20 0.000112 0.000247 0.000470 0.000839 0.001402 0.002194 0.003354
2025-07-27 0.000098 0.000228 0.000452 0.000829 0.001417 0.002256 0.003501
2025-08-03 0.000085 0.000209 0.000429 0.000813 0.001420 0.002302 0.003625
2025-08-10 0.000078 0.000201 0.000425 0.000824 0.001466 0.002409 0.003839
2025-08-17 0.000070 0.000190 0.000416 0.000826 0.001498 0.002496 0.004024
2025-08-24 0.000060 0.000172 0.000391 0.000800 0.001482 0.002511 0.004107
2025-08-31 0.000050 0.000155 0.000368 0.000774 0.001467 0.002527 0.004189
2025-09-07 0.000045 0.000146 0.000358 0.000772 0.001488 0.002598 0.004352
2025-09-14 0.000040 0.000138 0.000349 0.000770 0.001510 0.002669 0.004518
2025-09-21 0.000035 0.000128 0.000336 0.000760 0.001518 0.002718 0.004650
2025-09-28 0.000030 0.000117 0.000321 0.000745 0.001515 0.002751 0.004759
2025-10-05 0.000028 0.000115 0.000323 0.000763 0.001570 0.002874 0.005007